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St. Patricks vs Waterford

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Voilas J.
Assist: Lonergan T.
59'
Sub
Nugent D. In: Sheridan R.
Out: Nugent D.
60'
Sub
Breslin A. In: Brown J.
Out: Breslin A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Waterford finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
St. Patricks
20%
Draws
45%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Patricks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 16%
Waterford Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Waterford
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.73 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
0:2
Jul 10, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
1:1
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Voilas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 31 / 100
Waterford 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Waterford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Patricks scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Waterford has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: St. Patricks remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Waterford
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
09 Aug
Shelbourne
1 : 2
St. Patricks
02 Aug
St. Patricks
1 : 1
Derry City
Page 1 of 6

Waterford

(Away)
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
21 Aug
Sligo Rovers
0 : 0
Waterford
14 Aug
Waterford
2 : 1
Athlone
09 Aug
Waterford
3 : 1
Bohemians
02 Aug
Waterford
1 : 0
Shelbourne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 28 16 7 5 46:27 55
2 St. Patricks 29 14 8 7 45:25 50
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 50:34 50
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 46:45 40
5 Shelbourne 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 41:40 34
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 36:42 34
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 39:48 32
9 Drogheda 29 6 10 13 33:48 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 23:48 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)