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St. Patricks vs Waterford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Richmond Park, Dublin
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Voilas J.
Assist: Lonergan T.
59'
Sub
Nugent D. In: Sheridan R.
Out: Nugent D.
60'
Sub
Breslin A. In: Brown J.
Out: Breslin A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between St. Patricks and Waterford finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
St. Patricks
15%
Draws
59%
Waterford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Waterford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 19%
Waterford Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Waterford
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
0:2
Jul 10, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
1:1
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Waterford vs St. Patricks
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Waterford
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Patricks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Voilas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mahon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 32 / 100
Waterford 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Waterford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Patricks scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Waterford has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: St. Patricks remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Patricks VS Waterford
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Patricks

(Home)
30 Oct
St. Patricks
2 : 3
Bohemians
23 Oct
Galway United
0 : 0
St. Patricks
19 Oct
Derry City
1 : 0
St. Patricks
16 Oct
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Shelbourne
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 7

Waterford

(Away)
08 Nov
Derry City
1 : 0
Waterford
30 Oct
Shelbourne
2 : 3
Waterford
23 Oct
Waterford
3 : 1
Drogheda
19 Oct
Waterford
3 : 2
Galway United
16 Oct
Bohemians
2 : 1
Waterford
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 20 8 8 59:38 68
2 Bohemians 36 19 8 9 63:44 65
3 St. Patricks 36 17 9 10 55:31 60
4 Shelbourne 36 12 13 11 52:50 49
5 Derry City 36 11 15 10 50:47 48
6 Dundalk 36 11 12 13 55:59 45
7 Waterford 36 10 13 13 54:61 43
8 Galway United 36 10 12 14 46:53 42
9 Drogheda 36 10 10 16 44:57 40
10 Sligo Rovers 36 5 10 21 28:66 25
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)