Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Patricks vs Wexford

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Richmond Park
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks play Wexford in the FAI Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Patricks averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. Wexford averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, St. Patricks won 4, Wexford won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 2, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for St. Patricks and 0.69 for Wexford. This points to a St. Patricks double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
St. Patricks
22%
Draws
27%
Wexford
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • St. Patricks picked up more points recently compared to Wexford.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 28%
Wexford Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Patricks Wexford
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.77 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Wexford vs St. Patricks
1:1
Sep 17, 2021 FAI Cup
St. Patricks vs Wexford
3:0
Jan 12, 2019 Club Friendly
Wexford vs St. Patricks
0:3
Oct 7, 2016 Premier Division
St. Patricks vs Wexford
4:1
Aug 1, 2016 Premier Division
Wexford vs St. Patricks
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Patricks 52 / 100
Wexford 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Patricks Wexford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: St. Patricks or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Patricks attacking → ← attacking Wexford

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Wexford let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

St. Patricks went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wexford lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 36
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75