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Stadium Background

St. Pauli II vs Emden

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Schroder T.
63' Event
Warnken J.

AI Match Summary

Emden in this Regionalliga North matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Emden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
St. Pauli II
15%
Draws
57%
Emden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Emden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Emden have won more games recently than St. Pauli II.
  • Model gives St. Pauli II a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%
Emden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli II Emden
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2.54
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Emden
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Regionalliga North
Emden vs St. Pauli II
0:1
Oct 1, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Emden
1:1
Mar 2, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Emden
1:0
Aug 30, 2024 Regionalliga North
Emden vs St. Pauli II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauli II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Emden Compare

Top Goalscorer Schroder T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Warnken J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli II 34 / 100
Emden 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli II Emden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Emden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

St. Pauli II found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

St. Pauli II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli II VS Emden
2 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli II

(Home)
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
1 : 0
St. Pauli II
16 Sept
Hamburger II
0 : 3
St. Pauli II
13 Sept
St. Pauli II
5 : 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
04 Sept
Hannover II
3 : 2
St. Pauli II
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Emden

(Away)
26 Sept
St. Pauli II
0 : 2
Emden
19 Sept
Emden
5 : 0
Schoningen
15 Sept
Drochtersen / Assel
8 : 2
Emden
12 Sept
Emden
4 : 1
Jeddeloh
06 Sept
Bremer
2 : 3
Emden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weiche Flensburg 08 11 8 1 2 33:12 25
2 Schoningen 11 7 3 1 19:15 24
3 Phonix Lubeck 10 7 2 1 28:6 23
4 Drochtersen / Assel 11 7 1 3 33:16 22
5 VfB Oldenburg 10 7 1 2 31:14 22
6 Hannover II 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
7 Emden 11 5 3 3 31:30 18
8 Delmenhorst 11 4 3 4 17:20 15
9 Eintracht Norderstedt 11 3 4 4 23:27 13
10 Eimsbutteler 11 4 1 6 21:33 13
11 Werder Bremen II 10 3 2 5 16:18 11
12 Lubeck 11 2 5 4 14:21 11
13 St. Pauli II 11 3 1 7 20:21 10
14 Jeddeloh 11 3 1 7 16:25 10
15 Hamburger II 11 3 1 7 15:25 10
16 Hannoverscher SC 11 2 4 5 15:26 10
17 Bremer 11 2 2 7 9:21 8
18 Todesfelde 11 2 2 7 19:37 8
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga North (Relegation)