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St. Pauli II vs Verden

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between St. Pauli II and Verden finished 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
St. Pauli II
17%
Draws
13%
Verden
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: St. Pauli II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Verden come out ahead of St. Pauli II on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Pauli II a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 12%
Verden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli II Verden
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 4 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Pauli II vs Verden
5:5
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Verden vs St. Pauli II
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli II 65 / 100
Verden 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli II Verden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Pauli II scored in 88% of their last 25 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Verden has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

St. Pauli II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli II VS Verden
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%