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St. Pauli vs Mainz

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion
Our Tip

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli
VS
Mainz
0.63
Goals Scored
1.38
2.13
Goals Conceded
1
0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.75
100%
Over 1.5
88%
50%
Over 2.5
38%
13%
Over 3.5
13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Mainz hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win24%
Draw26%
Away Win50%

Goals & Scoring

BTTS/GG: Yes55%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals55%

Match Events

6' Event
Tietz P.
Assist: Becker S.
40' Event
Mwene P.
Assist: Widmer S.
46'
Sub
Ritzka L. In: Dzwigala A.
Out: Ritzka L.

Previous Encounters

03 May 26 BUN
St. Pauli
1:2
Mainz
21 Dec 25 BUN
Mainz
0:0
St. Pauli
22 Feb 25 BUN
Mainz
2:0
St. Pauli
05 Oct 24 BUN
St. Pauli
0:3
Mainz
14 May 11 BUN
Mainz
2:1
St. Pauli

Recent Form (Last 5)

St. Pauli

Home Team
16 May
St. Pauli
1 : 3
Wolfsburg
09 May
RB Leipzig
2 : 1
St. Pauli
03 May
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Mainz
25 Apr
Heidenheim
2 : 0
St. Pauli
17 Apr
St. Pauli
1 : 1
1. FC Koln

Mainz

Away Team
16 May
Heidenheim
0 : 2
Mainz
10 May
Mainz
1 : 3
Union Berlin
03 May
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Mainz
25 Apr
Mainz
3 : 4
Bayern Munich
19 Apr
B. Monchengladbach
1 : 1
Mainz

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bayern Munich342851122:3689
2Dortmund34227570:3473
3RB Leipzig34205966:4765
4VfB Stuttgart34188871:4962
5Hoffenheim34187965:5261
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968:4759
7Freiburg341381351:5747
8Eintracht Frankfurt3411111261:6544
9Augsburg341271545:6143
10Mainz3410101444:5340
11Union Berlin341091544:5839
12B. Monchengladbach349111442:5338
13Hamburger349111440:5438
141. FC Koln347111649:6332
15Werder Bremen34881837:6032
16Wolfsburg34781945:6929
17Heidenheim34682041:7226
18St. Pauli34682029:6026

Match Preview: St. Pauli vs Mainz

St. Pauli welcomes Mainz for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Bundesliga. Scheduled for Sunday, May 3, 2026 at 13:30 UTC, the match will take place at Millerntor-Stadion. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. St. Pauli will look to leverage their #18 to gain an advantage, while Mainz aims to improve their #10 with a positive result on the road. St. Pauli enters the match in a form of L-L-L-L-D, while Mainz shows a form of W-L-W-L-D.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically. In their last 5 head-to-head encounters, St. Pauli has won 0 times, Mainz has won 4 times, and there have been 1 draws.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. St. Pauli will try to assert dominance early, whereas Mainz might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances. Statistically, St. Pauli has scored 0.63 goals and conceded 2.13 goals in recent games, while Mainz has scored 1.38 and conceded 1 goals.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Bundesliga, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.

Event Details

  • Match: St. Pauli vs Mainz
  • Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Time: 13:30 UTC
  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Venue: Millerntor-Stadion, Germany

Note: Information provided by Sokapicks for informational purposes.