Sport Picks
St. Pauli vs Greuther Furth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
2. Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg 
Match Events
46'
46'
Mathisen M.
Assist: Hrgota B.
51'
51'
Klaus F.
Assist: Dehm J.
61'
61'
Pyrka A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this 2. Bundesliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Greuther Furth have won more games recently than St. Pauli.
- St. Pauli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 17%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Pauli | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Greuther Furth
1:1
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Greuther Furth vs St. Pauli
3:1
Feb 3, 2024 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Greuther Furth
3:2
Aug 19, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs St. Pauli
0:0
Mar 11, 2023 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Greuther Furth
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Pauli Compare
Top Goalscorer Mathisen M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Greuther Furth Compare
Top Goalscorer Klaus F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Pauli 84 / 100
Greuther Furth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Pauli Greuther Furth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Pauli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Pauli scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
Greuther Furth has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: St. Pauli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
St. Pauli VS Greuther Furth
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Pauli
(Home) 03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1 B. Monchengladbach
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1 St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0 Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2 Kaiserslautern
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1 B. Monchengladbach
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0 Wolfsburg
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2 Kaiserslautern
09 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 1 Greuther Furth
01 Aug
St. Pauli
2 : 2 Dep. A Coruna
Page 1 of 3
Greuther Furth
(Away) 01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
18 Sept
Greuther Furth
1 : 1 Magdeburg
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1 Greuther Furth
06 Sept
Greuther Furth
0 : 1 Heidenheim
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4 Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0 Greuther Furth
12 Sept
Bochum
1 : 1 Greuther Furth
29 Aug
Energie Cottbus
3 : 4 Greuther Furth
09 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 1 Greuther Furth
31 Jul
Freiburg
0 : 3 Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:10 | 17 |
| 3 | Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 13 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 12 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 8 |
| 8 | VfL Osnabruck | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 7 |
| 10 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 11 | Bochum | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Hannover | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 13 | Darmstadt | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 6 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | 5 |
| 16 | Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Karlsruher | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
