Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Ritzka L.
12'
Cleiton
32'
Ceesay A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga game between St. Pauli and Wolfsburg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Pauli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
St. Pauli
30%
Draws
47%
Wolfsburg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wolfsburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Wolfsburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Wolfsburg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
St. Pauli Clean Sheet 10%
Wolfsburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauli Wolfsburg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 2. Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg
1:0
May 16, 2026 Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg
1:3
Jan 14, 2026 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs St. Pauli
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauli Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujita J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wolfsburg Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauli 22 / 100
Wolfsburg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauli Wolfsburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wolfsburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wolfsburg has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

St. Pauli's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

St. Pauli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli VS Wolfsburg
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Pauli

(Home)
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
04 Sept
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2
St. Pauli
30 Aug
St. Pauli
1 : 2
Kaiserslautern
23 Aug
RW Essen
2 : 0
St. Pauli
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Wolfsburg

(Away)
18 Sept
Wolfsburg
5 : 1
Darmstadt
12 Sept
St. Pauli
1 : 0
Wolfsburg
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
29 Aug
Karlsruher
2 : 5
Wolfsburg
24 Aug
Altglienicke
3 : 4
Wolfsburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 6 6 0 0 17:7 18
2 Nurnberg 6 5 1 0 16:6 16
3 Heidenheim 6 4 1 1 14:12 13
4 Wolfsburg 6 3 2 1 15:8 11
5 Kaiserslautern 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
6 Magdeburg 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Energie Cottbus 6 2 2 2 14:13 8
8 St. Pauli 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
9 Bochum 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
10 Hannover 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 VfL Osnabruck 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
12 Greuther Furth 6 1 3 2 9:11 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
14 Karlsruher 6 1 2 3 6:12 5
15 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 12:13 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 0 4 2 7:10 4
17 Dresden 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
18 Darmstadt 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)