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St. Pauls United vs Jong Holland

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Phipps N.
53' Event
Derks T.
57' Event
Rosa D.

AI Match Summary

Jong Holland in this CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jong Holland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. Pauls United
39%
Draws
30%
Jong Holland
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jong Holland lately — more wins on the board than St. Pauls United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
St. Pauls United Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Holland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauls United Jong Holland
Matches Played 5 26
Wins 0 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2023 CFU Club Shield
St. Pauls United vs Jong Holland
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauls United Compare

Top Goalscorer Phipps N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jong Holland Compare

Top Goalscorer Derks T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauls United 30 / 100
Jong Holland 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauls United Jong Holland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong Holland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

St. Pauls United's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

St. Pauls United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Pauls United VS Jong Holland
0 Goals Scored 2.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitan FA33007:09
2Jong Holland32014:46
3St. Pauls United30122:51
4Junior Stars30122:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Golden Lion220015:16
2Scholars International21012:43
3South East20021:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Robinhood330011:39
2Etoile Matoury32018:56
3Universidad O&M310210:63
4B1 Castries30032:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sando330016:09
2SV Dakota32013:36
3Solidarite Scolaire30121:61
4SWA Sharks30121:121