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St. Pauls United vs Junior Stars

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Pauls United play Junior Stars in the CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Pauls United averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Junior Stars averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, St. Pauls United won 0, Junior Stars won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 7, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.05 for St. Pauls United and 1.33 for Junior Stars. This points to a Junior Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
St. Pauls United
35%
Draws
41%
Junior Stars
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Junior Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • St. Pauls United picked up more points recently compared to Junior Stars.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.05 vs 1.33 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
St. Pauls United Clean Sheet 18%
Junior Stars Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Pauls United Junior Stars
Matches Played 5 6
Wins 0 0
Draws 1 3
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 0.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.8 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.80 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2023 CFU Club Shield
St. Pauls United vs Junior Stars
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Pauls United Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.2

Junior Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellechasse Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Pauls United 25 / 100
Junior Stars 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Pauls United Junior Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Junior Stars or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St. Pauls United attacking → ← attacking Junior Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Pauls United scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Junior Stars let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

St. Pauls United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Junior Stars lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 3
0.40 Goals expected (xG) 0.86
1.80 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Metropolitan FA33007:09
2Jong Holland32014:46
3St. Pauls United30122:51
4Junior Stars30122:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Golden Lion220015:16
2Scholars International21012:43
3South East20021:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Robinhood330011:39
2Etoile Matoury32018:56
3Universidad O&M310210:63
4B1 Castries30032:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sando330016:09
2SV Dakota32013:36
3Solidarite Scolaire30121:61
4SWA Sharks30121:121