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St. Petersburg FC vs Sarasota Paradise

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

Sarasota Paradise in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarasota Paradise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Petersburg FC
6%
Draws
4%
Sarasota Paradise
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Petersburg FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sarasota Paradise average 0.5 goals a game right now, well clear of St. Petersburg FC's 0.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Petersburg FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
St. Petersburg FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Petersburg FC Sarasota Paradise
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2025 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Sarasota Paradise
1:1
May 17, 2025 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs St. Petersburg FC
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Sarasota Paradise
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 USL League Two
Sarasota Paradise vs St. Petersburg FC
2:1
Jun 19, 2024 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Sarasota Paradise
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Petersburg FC 85 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Petersburg FC Sarasota Paradise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Petersburg FC found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sarasota Paradise conceded in 74% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

St. Petersburg FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarasota Paradise
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Petersburg FC

(Home)
12 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
3 : 1
Weston
08 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 2
Fort Lauderdale United
02 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
28 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
5 : 0
Miami City
21 Jun
Miami AC
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
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Sarasota Paradise

(Away)
11 Jul
Sarasota Paradise
0 : 5
Miami FC
08 Jul
Greenville Triumph
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
03 Jul
Richmond Kickers
0 : 0
Sarasota Paradise
21 Jun
Corpus Christi FC
4 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
13 Jun
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 0
Union Omaha
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