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St. Polten vs Hogo Hertha Wels - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
St. Polten Logo

St. Polten

2 - 1
FT
Hogo Hertha Wels Logo

Hogo Hertha Wels

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Szerencsi N.
7' Event
Mane E. H.
Assist: Gabriel Jesus D.
23' Event
Kolodziejczyk M.
Assist: Wanner J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Polten in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Polten.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
St. Polten
30%
Draws
33%
Hogo Hertha Wels
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Polten

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Polten lately — more wins on the board than Hogo Hertha Wels.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on St. Polten taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and St. Polten have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 18%
Hogo Hertha Wels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten Hogo Hertha Wels
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.14 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
2:1
May 14, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs Hogo Hertha Wels
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 2. Liga
Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten
1:1
Aug 26, 2025 OFB Cup
Hogo Hertha Wels vs St. Polten
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane E. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolodziejczyk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Hogo Hertha Wels Compare

Top Goalscorer Mankan Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten 49 / 100
Hogo Hertha Wels 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten Hogo Hertha Wels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hogo Hertha Wels's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: St. Polten scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: St. Polten remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten VS Hogo Hertha Wels
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten

(Home)
30 Oct
St. Polten
2 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
23 Oct
Kapfenberg
1 : 1
St. Polten
16 Oct
St. Polten
0 : 0
Rapid Vienna II
09 Oct
First Vienna
3 : 1
St. Polten
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
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Hogo Hertha Wels

(Away)
30 Oct
St. Polten
2 : 1
Hogo Hertha Wels
27 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 0
Wolfsberger AC
23 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
2 : 6
ASK Voitsberg
16 Oct
Austria Vienna (Am)
2 : 2
Hogo Hertha Wels
10 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 0
SW Bregenz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 10 8 1 1 26:6 25
2 First Vienna 10 8 1 1 21:9 25
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 10 6 1 3 17:13 19
4 A. Salzburg 11 6 1 4 20:14 19
5 Admira 10 6 0 4 13:10 18
6 Amstetten 11 4 5 2 18:17 17
7 Wacker Innsbruck 10 4 2 4 12:11 14
8 St. Polten 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
9 FC Liefering 10 4 2 4 20:22 14
10 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 ASK Voitsberg 10 3 3 4 19:19 12
12 SW Bregenz 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 Sturm II 10 2 2 6 16:24 8
14 Hogo Hertha Wels 11 2 2 7 14:27 8
15 Kapfenberg 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
16 Rapid Vienna II 10 2 1 7 10:22 7
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