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St. Polten vs Liberec

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Amoah W.
35'
Mane E. H.
46'
Sub
Faye F. In: Masopust L.
Out: Faye F.

AI Match Summary

Liberec in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liberec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
St. Polten
15%
Draws
61%
Liberec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Liberec lately — more wins on the board than St. Polten.
  • Liberec are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 18%
Liberec Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten Liberec
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.36 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Polten vs Liberec
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoah W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Liberec Compare

Top Goalscorer Masopust L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rus D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten 10 / 100
Liberec 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten Liberec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

St. Polten found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Liberec conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

St. Polten went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten VS Liberec
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
21 Aug
Wacker Innsbruck
1 : 0
St. Polten
14 Aug
St. Polten
0 : 1
BW Linz
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Liberec

(Away)
15 Sept
Vlasim
0 : 2
Liberec
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
30 Aug
Liberec
2 : 0
Hradec Kralove
26 Aug
Prepere
0 : 2
Liberec
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