Sport Picks
St. Polten vs SW Bregenz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Austria
2. Liga NV Arena, Sankt Pölten 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Henrique Cayres In: Souza R.
Out: Henrique Cayres
35'
35'
Amoah W.
37'
37'
Souza R.
AI Match Summary
St. Polten in this 2. Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Polten.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Polten
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- SW Bregenz haven't matched St. Polten's recent run of results.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on SW Bregenz taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- St. Polten have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 18%
SW Bregenz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Polten | SW Bregenz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 2. Liga
St. Polten vs SW Bregenz
2:1
Dec 12, 2025 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs St. Polten
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 2. Liga
St. Polten vs SW Bregenz
4:2
May 9, 2025 2. Liga
St. Polten vs SW Bregenz
3:1
Nov 8, 2024 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs St. Polten
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Polten Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Jesus D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
SW Bregenz Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabryel
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Polten 28 / 100
SW Bregenz 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Polten SW Bregenz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SW Bregenz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
St. Polten scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: SW Bregenz conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
St. Polten has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
St. Polten VS SW Bregenz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Polten
(Home) 09 Oct
First Vienna
3 : 1 St. Polten
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1 SW Bregenz
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3 St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3 Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0 A. Salzburg
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1 SW Bregenz
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3 Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0 A. Salzburg
14 Aug
St. Polten
0 : 1 BW Linz
07 Aug
St. Polten
0 : 1 Austria Vienna (Am)
Page 1 of 4
SW Bregenz
(Away) 10 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 0 SW Bregenz
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1 SW Bregenz
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1 SW Bregenz
12 Sept
SW Bregenz
4 : 0 Floridsdorfer AC Wien
04 Sept
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
0 : 1 SW Bregenz
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 0 SW Bregenz
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1 SW Bregenz
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1 SW Bregenz
04 Sept
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
0 : 1 SW Bregenz
29 Aug
Austria Vienna (Am)
2 : 0 SW Bregenz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BW Linz | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:5 | 19 |
| 2 | First Vienna | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Wacker Innsbruck | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Floridsdorfer AC Wien | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 6 | A. Salzburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 7 | Amstetten | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Liefering | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | SW Bregenz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Admira | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 11 | ASK Voitsberg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | St. Polten | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 13 | Sturm II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Hogo Hertha Wels | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Rapid Vienna II | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | 6 |
| 16 | Kapfenberg | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:18 | 3 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
