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St. Polten W vs FC Sudburgenland W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Klein J.
(Penalty)
11' Event
Beiglbock V.
14' Event
Aagaard A.
Assist: Vago F.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between St. Polten W and FC Sudburgenland W finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
St. Polten W
15%
Draws
26%
FC Sudburgenland W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Polten W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Polten W come out ahead of FC Sudburgenland W on wins alone.
  • Model gives St. Polten W a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Polten W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 20%
FC Sudburgenland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten W FC Sudburgenland W
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 24 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 2.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.82 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs FC Sudburgenland W
9:1
Mar 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
FC Sudburgenland W vs St. Polten W
1:3
Oct 11, 2025 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs FC Sudburgenland W
6:0
Mar 19, 2022 Bundesliga Women
FC Sudburgenland W vs St. Polten W
0:3
Sep 4, 2021 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs FC Sudburgenland W
14:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aagaard A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Woelki A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

FC Sudburgenland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Beiglbock V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten W 85 / 100
FC Sudburgenland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten W FC Sudburgenland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten W found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

FC Sudburgenland W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.40 goals when they meet.

St. Polten W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten W VS FC Sudburgenland W
2.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
26 Sept
St. Polten W
4 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
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FC Sudburgenland W

(Away)
03 Oct
LASK Linz W
0 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
27 Sept
FC Sudburgenland W
0 : 1
SCR Altach W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
13 Sept
FC Sudburgenland W
0 : 5
Austria Vienna W
29 Aug
Sturm Graz W
3 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Sturm Graz W 9 6 2 1 22:8 20
3 Austria Vienna W 8 6 1 1 25:2 19
4 SCR Altach W 8 5 1 2 19:13 16
5 Salzburg W 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
6 LASK Linz W 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
7 First Vienna W 9 1 4 4 12:20 7
8 Rapid Vienna W 8 1 3 4 8:17 6
9 FC Sudburgenland W 9 1 2 6 6:24 5
10 Union Kleinmunchen W 9 1 1 7 5:24 4
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women (Relegation Group)