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St. Polten W vs Salzburg W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vracevic T.
Assist: Klein J.
46'
Sub
Matavkova L. In: Makovec S.
Out: Matavkova L.
46'
Sub
Hamzic A. In: Spinn L.
Out: Hamzic A.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between St. Polten W and Salzburg W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Polten W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Polten W
20%
Draws
40%
Salzburg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • St. Polten W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Polten W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Bundesliga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Polten W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 20%
Salzburg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten W Salzburg W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.81 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
2:0
May 17, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs St. Polten W
0:3
May 9, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Salzburg W
6:1
Sep 6, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Salzburg W vs St. Polten W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vracevic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ebert L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Salzburg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten W 85 / 100
Salzburg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten W Salzburg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Polten W scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Salzburg W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

St. Polten W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten W VS Salzburg W
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
26 Sept
St. Polten W
4 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
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Salzburg W

(Away)
03 Oct
Salzburg W
3 : 1
First Vienna W
26 Sept
Rapid Vienna W
0 : 1
Salzburg W
19 Sept
LASK Linz W
0 : 0
Salzburg W
12 Sept
Salzburg W
1 : 3
SCR Altach W
29 Aug
St. Polten W
2 : 0
Salzburg W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Sturm Graz W 9 6 2 1 22:8 20
3 Austria Vienna W 8 6 1 1 25:2 19
4 SCR Altach W 8 5 1 2 19:13 16
5 Salzburg W 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
6 LASK Linz W 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
7 First Vienna W 9 1 4 4 12:20 7
8 Rapid Vienna W 8 1 3 4 8:17 6
9 FC Sudburgenland W 9 1 2 6 6:24 5
10 Union Kleinmunchen W 9 1 1 7 5:24 4
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women (Relegation Group)