Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women NV Arena, Sankt Pölten
St. Polten W Logo

St. Polten W

2 - 2
FT
Sturm Graz W Logo

Sturm Graz W

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Nagy F.
15' Event
Ebert L.
Assist: Krizaj I.
28' Event
Breznik L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Bundesliga Women matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
St. Polten W
20%
Draws
29%
Sturm Graz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Polten W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sturm Graz W haven't matched St. Polten W's recent run of results.
  • St. Polten W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and St. Polten W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. Polten W Clean Sheet 12%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Polten W Sturm Graz W
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 24 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.97 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W
2:2
May 22, 2026 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs St. Polten W
2:3
May 1, 2026 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Nov 1, 2025 Bundesliga Women
St. Polten W vs Sturm Graz W
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs St. Polten W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Polten W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebert L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aagaard A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Breznik L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keutz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Polten W 83 / 100
Sturm Graz W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Polten W Sturm Graz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Polten W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Polten W found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Sturm Graz W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

St. Polten W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Polten W VS Sturm Graz W
2.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Polten W

(Home)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Malmo FF W
3 : 0
St. Polten W
26 Sept
St. Polten W
4 : 0
Union Kleinmunchen W
23 Sept
St. Polten W
0 : 2
Malmo FF W
19 Sept
St. Polten W
9 : 1
FC Sudburgenland W
Page 1 of 7

Sturm Graz W

(Away)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Sturm Graz W 9 6 2 1 22:8 20
3 Austria Vienna W 8 6 1 1 25:2 19
4 SCR Altach W 8 5 1 2 19:13 16
5 Salzburg W 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
6 LASK Linz W 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
7 First Vienna W 9 1 4 4 12:20 7
8 Rapid Vienna W 8 1 3 4 8:17 6
9 FC Sudburgenland W 9 1 2 6 6:24 5
10 Union Kleinmunchen W 9 1 1 7 5:24 4
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women (Relegation Group)