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St Sebastien vs La Baule - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coupe de France. This has St Sebastien written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: St Sebastien at 1.33 goals for, 2 against; La Baule at 0 for, 1.5 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward St Sebastien. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St Sebastien
25%
Draws
35%
La Baule
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: St Sebastien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • La Baule haven't matched St Sebastien's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • St Sebastien have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
St Sebastien Clean Sheet 19%
La Baule Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Sebastien La Baule
Matches Played 3 2
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.33 0
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Sebastien 31 / 100
La Baule 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Sebastien La Baule

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Sebastien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Baule let in goals in 100% of their last 2 matches.

St Sebastien's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Recent resilience: St Sebastien stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: La Baule has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St Sebastien VS La Baule
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St Sebastien

(Home)
14 Aug
St Sebastien
3 : 2
Vertou
21 Nov
St Sebastien
1 : 3
Chauray
24 Nov
St Sebastien
0 : 1
Vannes

La Baule

(Away)
16 Nov
La Baule
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
23 Nov
Montagnarde
2 : 0
La Baule

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Pontivy -
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Rouen -
St. Renan -
Laval -
Lannion FC -
Guingamp -
Vitre -
Saint-Pierre Milizac -
Stade Pontivyen -
Plabennec -
Tinteniac -
Concarneau -
Perros-Louannec -
Vannes -
Metz ESAP -
Reipertswiller -
Amneville -
Sundhoffen -
Koetzingue -
Biesheim -
Besancon RC -
APM Metz -
Talange -
Baume Dames -
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen -
Oberlauterbach -
SR Saint-Die Kellermann -
Metz -
CA Boulay -
Sochaux -
Montigny -
Pontarlier -
Vesoul -
Fleury 91 -
US Vandoeuvre -
Epinal -
OM Cambrai Amerique -
Amiens SC -
IC Croix -
Thaon -
Violaines -
US Vermelles -
Chauny -
USLPV -
La Neuvillette -
Valenciennes -
Tourcoing -
Reims -
OCPAM -
Olympique Marcquois -
Bethune -
Nancy -
Neslois -
Furiani Agliani -
St Ouen -
Boulogne -
AS Verson -
RC Calais -
Sottevillais -
Fecamp -
Dunkerque -
Quevilly -
ASPTT Caen -
Chambly -
Le Touquet -
Avranches -
SML Tatinghem -
Racing Club de France -
US Montreuil-sur-Mer -
Loon Plage -
Saint-Omer -
AF Virois -
Choisy Au Bac -
Caen -
Val Yerres Crosne A.F. -
Cosne US -
Sedan -
Bourges 18 -
Paris 13 Atletico -
Red Star -
Tremblay FC -
Maisons Alfort -
Dijon -
Orleans -
Massay -
Montlouis -
Chatou -
Les Ulis -
Contres -
Linas-Montlhery -
USM Senlis -
Saint-Pryve -
ASPTT Dijon -
Selongey -
Chambery -
Grenoble -
Seyssinet -
Nimes -
Claira/Laurent -
AS Puissalicon -
Grau-du-Roi -
Riviera -
FC Balagne -
Montpellier -
Avenir Lozere -
Entente Crest-Aouste -
Atlas Paillade -
Cannes -
Le Puy-en-Velay -
Diables Noirs -
Rhone-Crussol Foot 07 -
Frejus Saint Raphael -
Marseille Endoume -
Toulon -
Versailles -
Rodez -
FC 2 Rives 82 -
Trelissac -
RC Chambery -
Niort -
Boulazac -
Genets -
Balma -
US Castanet -
Lourdes -
Pau -
SAG Cestas -
Bayonne -
Brive -
Angouleme CFC -
Rochefort -
Juventus Papus -
Stade Bordelais -
Mazeres -
Castelbourgeois -
Nantes -
Macaire -
FC Nueillaubiers -
Bressuire -
Challans -
St Sebastien -
La Baule -
Fontenay -
Clermont -
CPB Brequigny -
Montlucon -
Saint-Philbert -
La Roche Vendee -
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant -
Horizon Patho -
Le Poire Sur Vie -
Vertou -
ES Buxerolles -
Sable -
Rumilly Vallieres -
St Etienne -
Paray -
Villefranche -
Riom -
Limonest -
FC Chalon -
Hauts Lyonnais -
Lyon - La Duchere -
Feurs -
Firminy -
Annecy -
Veauche -
Saint Paul en Jarez -
FC Cournon d'Auvergne -
Chassieu Decines -
FC Pont De Cheruy -
Bourg Peronnas -
Tamponnaise -
Saint-Pauloise FC -
Franciscain 4
Aiglon Lamentin 0
Tefana -
Thionville -
Baie Mahault 0
Siroco les Abymes 1
Olympique de Cayenne 1
Etoile Matoury 3
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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