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St. Truiden vs Genk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Sun, Nov 29, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Genk have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while St. Truiden have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, St. Truiden have won 0 to Genk's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Genk. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
St. Truiden
15%
Draws
39%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Truiden have won more games recently than Genk.
  • Win probability leans St. Truiden's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Genk have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 16%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Genk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs St. Truiden
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Genk
1:2
Jan 7, 2025 Belgian Cup
St. Truiden vs Genk
0:4
Dec 1, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Genk
2:2
Oct 20, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs St. Truiden
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 48 / 100
Genk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

St. Truiden's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Genk has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: St. Truiden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Genk
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
08 Nov
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Waregem
05 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 1
Brann
01 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 2
Leuven
25 Oct
Club Brugge
3 : 2
St. Truiden
22 Oct
Midtjylland
0 : 1
St. Truiden
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Genk

(Away)
12 Nov
Genk
1 : 3
Eupen
08 Nov
Royale Union SG
1 : 0
Genk
31 Oct
KV Mechelen
1 : 0
Genk
25 Oct
Genk
2 : 1
St. Liege
17 Oct
Virton
0 : 2
Genk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)