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St. Truiden vs Leuven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden host Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Leuven have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while St. Truiden have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.79. Past meetings favor St. Truiden slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.25) point toward St. Truiden. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
St. Truiden
20%
Draws
50%
Leuven
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Truiden come out ahead of Leuven on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 19%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Leuven
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Leuven
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Truiden
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Truiden
3:2
Sep 15, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Leuven
2:1
May 17, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Leuven
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 36 / 100
Leuven 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Leuven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St. Truiden scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Leuven's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

St. Truiden went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Leuven
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
11 Oct
KV Mechelen
4 : 3
St. Truiden
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
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Leuven

(Away)
11 Oct
Royale Union SG
1 : 1
Leuven
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 19:4 21
3 Charleroi 8 7 0 1 16:7 21
4 Royale Union SG 8 6 2 0 22:4 20
5 Anderlecht 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
6 Westerlo 8 4 1 3 20:17 13
7 Genk 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
8 Waregem 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 St. Liege 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
11 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
12 St. Truiden 8 2 2 4 15:16 8
13 Antwerp 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
14 KV Mechelen 8 1 3 4 9:17 6
15 Leuven 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
16 RAAL La Louviere 8 1 1 6 8:18 4
17 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
18 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 9:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)