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St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louviere - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Isah M.
13'
Sebaoui I.
41' Event
Merlen R.
Assist: Matsuzawa K.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League game between St. Truiden and RAAL La Louviere finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Truiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
St. Truiden
15%
Draws
57%
RAAL La Louviere
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RAAL La Louviere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • St. Truiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and St. Truiden have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 14%
RAAL La Louviere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden RAAL La Louviere
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louviere
4:0
Jan 24, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
RAAL La Louviere vs St. Truiden
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louviere
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Truiden Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazdar S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Merlen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

RAAL La Louviere Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 30 / 100
RAAL La Louviere 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden RAAL La Louviere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Truiden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

St. Truiden scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

RAAL La Louviere has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: RAAL La Louviere registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS RAAL La Louviere
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
11 Oct
KV Mechelen
4 : 3
St. Truiden
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
Page 1 of 6

RAAL La Louviere

(Away)
10 Oct
RAAL La Louviere
1 : 4
Club Brugge
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
13 Sept
RAAL La Louviere
3 : 0
Kortrijk
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 19:4 21
3 Royale Union SG 7 6 1 0 21:3 19
4 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
5 Anderlecht 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
6 Genk 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
7 St. Liege 7 3 2 2 13:12 11
8 Waregem 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Westerlo 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
11 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
12 St. Truiden 7 2 2 3 12:12 8
13 Antwerp 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 Leuven 7 1 1 5 5:13 4
15 RAAL La Louviere 8 1 1 6 8:18 4
16 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
17 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 9:16 3
18 KV Mechelen 7 0 3 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)