Sport Picks

Stadium Background

St. Truiden vs Royal Excelsior Mouscron

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler League 2009/2010 Daio Wasabi Stayen
Sat, Feb 13, 2010
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden host Royal Excelsior Mouscron in the Jupiler League 2009/2010. St. Truiden are expected to control this from the start. Royal Excelsior Mouscron have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while St. Truiden have conceded 1.25 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Royal Excelsior Mouscron slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2010, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.10 - 1.13) back St. Truiden to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Truiden
6%
Draws
4%
Royal Excelsior Mouscron
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Truiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Truiden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Truiden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 20%
Royal Excelsior Mouscron Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Royal Excelsior Mouscron
Matches Played 29 1
Wins 17 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 1
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2010 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royal Excelsior Mouscron
0:0
Oct 17, 2009 Jupiler Pro League
Royal Excelsior Mouscron vs St. Truiden
0:0
Jan 26, 2008 Jupiler Pro League
Royal Excelsior Mouscron vs St. Truiden
0:0
Aug 11, 2007 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royal Excelsior Mouscron
0:2
Mar 3, 2007 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Royal Excelsior Mouscron
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 85 / 100
Royal Excelsior Mouscron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Royal Excelsior Mouscron

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Royal Excelsior Mouscron conceded in 100% of 1 recent games.

St. Truiden found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: St. Truiden remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht28223362:2069
2Club Brugge28176552:3357
3Gent28147749:3049
4Kortrijk28129739:3045
5St. Truiden281261035:3542
6Waregem281011739:3241
7St. Liege28109938:3439
8KV Mechelen281231336:4639
9Cercle Brugge281151245:4038
10Beerschot28981130:4335
11Genk288101033:3134
12Westerlo28881228:3432
13Charleroi28581528:4523
14KSV Roeselare28461829:5818
15Lokeren28532022:5418
16Royal Excelsior Mouscron00000:00