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St. Truiden vs Westerlo

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Truiden host Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: St. Truiden at 1.7 goals for, 1.24 against; Westerlo at 1.23 for, 1.67 against. Past meetings favor St. Truiden slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.88 - 1.75) back St. Truiden to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
St. Truiden
15%
Draws
46%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Truiden lately — more wins on the board than Westerlo.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on St. Truiden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors St. Truiden here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 12%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Westerlo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Truiden
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Westerlo
0:3
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Westerlo vs St. Truiden
1:3
Jan 11, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Truiden
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Westerlo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 35 / 100
Westerlo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

St. Truiden's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Westerlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

St. Truiden has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Westerlo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
12 Sept
SK Beveren
2 : 0
St. Truiden
05 Sept
St. Truiden
4 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
02 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
30 Aug
Antwerp
1 : 4
St. Truiden
27 Aug
Omonia
4 : 2
St. Truiden
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Westerlo

(Away)
12 Sept
Westerlo
4 : 2
St. Liege
05 Sept
KV Mechelen
0 : 4
Westerlo
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
23 Aug
Lommel SK
4 : 0
Westerlo
15 Aug
Genk
3 : 2
Westerlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 6 5 1 0 19:3 16
2 Gent 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
3 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 12:3 15
4 Charleroi 6 5 0 1 12:5 15
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 St. Liege 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 4:5 10
8 SK Beveren 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
9 Genk 6 2 3 1 13:9 9
10 St. Truiden 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 11:13 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
13 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 13:16 7
14 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 0 3 3 6:11 3
16 KV Mechelen 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
17 Leuven 6 0 1 5 3:13 1
18 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 1:15 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)