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St. Truiden vs Westerlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Daio Wasabi Stayen, Sint-Truiden
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Bassette N.
Assist: Sandra C.
46' Event
Sandra C.
Assist: Sakamoto I.
60'
Sub
Araki R. In: Mbuku N.
Out: Araki R.

AI Match Summary

Westerlo in this Jupiler Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Westerlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. Truiden
15%
Draws
45%
Westerlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Westerlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to St. Truiden lately — more wins on the board than Westerlo.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
St. Truiden Clean Sheet 10%
Westerlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Truiden Westerlo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Westerlo
0:2
Feb 6, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Truiden
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden vs Westerlo
0:3
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Westerlo vs St. Truiden
1:3
Jan 11, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Westerlo vs St. Truiden
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Truiden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Westerlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassette N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sandra C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Truiden 34 / 100
Westerlo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Truiden Westerlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Westerlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

St. Truiden's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Westerlo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: St. Truiden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Truiden VS Westerlo
1.75 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Truiden

(Home)
01 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 2
Leuven
25 Oct
Club Brugge
3 : 2
St. Truiden
22 Oct
Midtjylland
0 : 1
St. Truiden
18 Oct
St. Truiden
4 : 1
Lommel SK
15 Oct
St. Truiden
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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Westerlo

(Away)
31 Oct
Anderlecht
4 : 1
Westerlo
24 Oct
Westerlo
4 : 4
SK Beveren
16 Oct
Westerlo
2 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Oct
Westerlo
5 : 1
Antwerp
20 Sept
St. Truiden
0 : 2
Westerlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Brugge 10 9 0 1 26:8 27
2 Royale Union SG 10 8 2 0 29:7 26
3 Gent 10 8 1 1 19:6 25
4 Charleroi 10 8 0 2 21:12 24
5 Anderlecht 10 6 1 3 13:11 19
6 Genk 10 4 3 3 18:14 15
7 Lommel SK 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Westerlo 10 4 2 4 25:25 14
9 St. Liege 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
10 KV Mechelen 10 3 3 4 13:18 12
11 Waregem 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
12 Antwerp 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
13 SK Beveren 10 3 1 6 13:20 10
14 Leuven 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
15 St. Truiden 10 2 2 6 18:21 8
16 RAAL La Louviere 10 2 1 7 13:23 7
17 Cercle Brugge 10 1 3 6 13:22 6
18 Kortrijk 10 1 1 8 4:22 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)