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Stadium Background

Staal Jorpeland vs Brodd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hansen Mossmann M. A.
27' Event
Haland S.
77' Event
Maeland R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Staal Jorpeland and Brodd finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Staal Jorpeland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Staal Jorpeland
20%
Draws
38%
Brodd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Staal Jorpeland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Brodd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Staal Jorpeland taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%
Brodd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Staal Jorpeland Brodd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Staal Jorpeland vs Brodd
3:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Staal Jorpeland vs Brodd
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Brodd vs Staal Jorpeland
3:2
Aug 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Staal Jorpeland vs Brodd
2:3
Apr 6, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Brodd vs Staal Jorpeland
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Top Goalscorer Maeland R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eie D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Brodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen Mossmann M. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haland S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Staal Jorpeland 40 / 100
Brodd 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Staal Jorpeland Brodd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Staal Jorpeland found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Brodd conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Staal Jorpeland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Staal Jorpeland VS Brodd
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%