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Stabaek 2 vs Grorud 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Finnoy F.
43' Event
Olderheim S.
45' Event
Hammich A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2023 game between Stabaek 2 and Grorud 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Stabaek 2
15%
Draws
21%
Grorud 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stabaek 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stabaek 2 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Grorud 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Grorud 2
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 2.27 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Stabaek 2
0:2
May 30, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Stabaek 2 vs Grorud 2
3:1
Oct 11, 2022 Division 3 - Group 1
Stabaek 2 vs Grorud 2
3:1
Apr 26, 2022 Division 3 - Group 1
Grorud 2 vs Stabaek 2
1:1
Oct 13, 2013 Division 3 - Group 2
Grorud 2 vs Stabaek 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olderheim S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hammich A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Grorud 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Finnoy F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 83 / 100
Grorud 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Grorud 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stabaek 2 scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Grorud 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Stabaek 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek 2

(Home)
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
06 Sept
Viking 2
3 : 1
Stabaek 2
30 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
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Grorud 2

(Away)
29 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 2
Grorud 2
22 Oct
Grorud 2
1 : 5
OS TF
15 Oct
Gneist IL
2 : 1
Grorud 2
08 Oct
Grorud 2
3 : 1
Skjetten
02 Oct
Frigg
4 : 1
Grorud 2
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