Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek 2 vs Madla IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Dessingue M.
39' Event
Rabenorolahy M.
Own Goal
83' Event
Skjelvik J.

AI Match Summary

Stabaek 2 in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Stabaek 2
30%
Draws
43%
Madla IL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 haven't matched Madla IL's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Madla IL a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Madla IL
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 2.14 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Madla IL
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Skjelvik J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Madla IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Dessingue M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 22 / 100
Madla IL 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Madla IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2 scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Madla IL let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Stabaek 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Madla IL
2.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek 2

(Home)
30 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
03 Aug
Brodd
2 : 2
Stabaek 2
25 Jul
Stabaek 2
1 : 1
Viking 2
Page 1 of 6

Madla IL

(Away)
31 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 0
Odds BK 2
22 Aug
Madla IL
3 : 2
Vidar
17 Aug
Viking 2
1 : 1
Madla IL
08 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 3
Vindbjart
01 Aug
Vag
2 : 3
Madla IL
Page 1 of 6