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Stabaek 2 vs Madla IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Dessingue M.
39' Event
Rabenorolahy M.
Own Goal
83' Event
Skjelvik J.

AI Match Summary

Stabaek 2 in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Stabaek 2
40%
Draws
29%
Madla IL
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Stabaek 2 haven't matched Madla IL's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Madla IL
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 16
Draws 2 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Madla IL
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Skjelvik J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Madla IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Dessingue M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 30 / 100
Madla IL 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Madla IL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2 scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Madla IL let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Stabaek 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Madla IL
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%