Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Lie A.
82' Event
Osman S.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Holta A. S.

AI Match Summary

Stabaek 2 in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stabaek 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Stabaek 2
15%
Draws
34%
Staal Jorpeland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stabaek 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Staal Jorpeland have won more games recently than Stabaek 2.
  • Stabaek 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Staal Jorpeland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Staal Jorpeland
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.22 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Staal Jorpeland
2:1
May 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Staal Jorpeland vs Stabaek 2
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lie A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Staal Jorpeland Compare

Top Goalscorer Holta A. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 83 / 100
Staal Jorpeland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Staal Jorpeland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stabaek 2 scored in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Staal Jorpeland has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Stabaek 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Staal Jorpeland
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek 2

(Home)
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
06 Sept
Viking 2
3 : 1
Stabaek 2
30 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
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Staal Jorpeland

(Away)
12 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Staal Jorpeland
05 Sept
Staal Jorpeland
0 : 2
Mandalskameratene
30 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
17 Aug
Staal Jorpeland
3 : 4
Haugesund 2
08 Aug
Odds BK 2
1 : 2
Staal Jorpeland
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