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Stabaek 2 vs Varhaug

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Madland L.
51' Event
Bachke C.
72' Event
Dalbye T.

AI Match Summary

Varhaug in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stabaek 2
44%
Draws
20%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek 2 lately — more wins on the board than Varhaug.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Varhaug
Matches Played 28 14
Wins 11 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Varhaug
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachke C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Madland L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dalbye T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 34 / 100
Varhaug 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Varhaug has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Stabaek 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Varhaug
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%