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Stabaek 2 vs Varhaug

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Madland L.
51' Event
Bachke C.
72' Event
Dalbye T.

AI Match Summary

Varhaug in this Division 3 - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Stabaek 2
15%
Draws
42%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stabaek 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stabaek 2 lately — more wins on the board than Varhaug.
  • Model gives Stabaek 2 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Stabaek 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek 2 Varhaug
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2.21 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Stabaek 2
2:0
Jun 21, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Stabaek 2 vs Varhaug
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bachke C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Madland L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dalbye T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 2 34 / 100
Varhaug 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek 2 Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek 2's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Varhaug let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Stabaek 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek 2 VS Varhaug
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek 2

(Home)
13 Sept
Stabaek 2
3 : 1
Vindbjart
06 Sept
Viking 2
3 : 1
Stabaek 2
30 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 1
Staal Jorpeland
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
09 Aug
Stabaek 2
2 : 0
Vag
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Varhaug

(Away)
14 Sept
Viking 2
4 : 0
Varhaug
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
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