Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek vs Raufoss

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Froysa E.
6'
Asvestad E.
13' Event
Aanesland M.
Assist: Achinioti-Jonsson A.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Stabaek and Raufoss finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Raufoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Stabaek
15%
Draws
57%
Raufoss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raufoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stabaek come out ahead of Raufoss on wins alone.
  • Stabaek are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 18%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek Raufoss
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.29 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Stabaek
0:2
May 16, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Raufoss
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Raufoss
3:0
May 24, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Stabaek
1:0
Sep 16, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Raufoss
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Olderheim S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Raufoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Aanesland M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Achinioti-Jonsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 76 / 100
Raufoss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek Raufoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Raufoss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Raufoss lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek VS Raufoss
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek

(Home)
16 Sept
Pors
2 : 1
Stabaek
12 Sept
Bryne
2 : 0
Stabaek
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Stabaek
26 Aug
Stabaek
4 : 2
Ranheim
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Raufoss

(Away)
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
13 Sept
Raufoss
2 : 1
Odds BK
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
26 Aug
Strommen
3 : 1
Raufoss
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 22 16 1 5 68:37 49
2 Kongsvinger 22 14 5 3 63:34 47
3 Stromsgodset 22 13 6 3 58:31 45
4 Stabaek 22 13 3 6 55:28 42
5 Hodd 22 10 4 8 37:40 34
6 Odds BK 22 9 6 7 42:35 33
7 Bryne 22 10 2 10 28:31 32
8 Egersund 22 8 5 9 35:39 29
9 Lyn 22 8 4 10 38:44 28
10 Ranheim 22 7 4 11 52:57 25
11 Strommen 22 7 4 11 33:48 25
12 Sandnes Ulf 22 7 3 12 31:40 24
13 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 37:51 23
14 Moss 22 6 4 12 36:51 22
15 Asane 22 5 5 12 34:48 19
16 Raufoss 22 6 1 15 26:59 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)