Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stabaek vs Sogndal

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Hanstad J.
Assist: Hoven A.
49' Event
Skaanes K.
Assist: Gausdal L.
54'
Sub
Riise F. In: Aamodt A.
Out: Riise F.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Stabaek and Sogndal finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Stabaek
15%
Draws
49%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sogndal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Stabaek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 13%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek Sogndal
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 20 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.36 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Sogndal
2:1
May 20, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Stabaek
2:2
Mar 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Sogndal
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Sogndal
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Stabaek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Hanstad J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sogndal Compare

Top Goalscorer Skaanes K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek 30 / 100
Sogndal 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (33 games).

Sogndal let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sogndal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek VS Sogndal
3.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek

(Home)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Pors
2 : 1
Stabaek
12 Sept
Bryne
2 : 0
Stabaek
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
30 Aug
Hodd
2 : 1
Stabaek
Page 1 of 7

Sogndal

(Away)
20 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 1
Sogndal
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 23 17 1 5 72:39 52
2 Kongsvinger 23 15 5 3 68:35 50
3 Stromsgodset 23 14 6 3 60:31 48
4 Stabaek 23 14 3 6 57:29 45
5 Odds BK 23 10 6 7 47:36 36
6 Bryne 23 11 2 10 32:31 35
7 Hodd 23 10 4 9 38:45 34
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36:44 29
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56:58 28
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39:48 28
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38:52 25
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35:52 25
13 Sandnes Ulf 23 7 3 13 32:42 24
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 23 5 5 13 34:52 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)