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Stabaek W vs Aalesund W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stabaek W host Aalesund W in the Toppserien Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aalesund W have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Stabaek W have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.21. Head-to-head, Stabaek W have won 3 to Aalesund W's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (1.75 - 2.56) back Aalesund W to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Stabaek W
15%
Draws
45%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Stabaek W haven't matched Aalesund W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Toppserien Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek W Aalesund W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 22
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.21 2.64
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Stabaek W vs Aalesund W
3:4
Mar 28, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Stabaek W
2:2
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Stabaek W vs Aalesund W
3:1
May 25, 2011 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Stabaek W
1:6
Oct 3, 2009 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Aalesund W
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek W 74 / 100
Aalesund W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek W Aalesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Stabaek W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Aalesund W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Stabaek W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek W VS Aalesund W
2.25 Goals Scored 3.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek W

(Home)
04 Oct
Molde W
0 : 3
Stabaek W
26 Sept
Stabaek W
0 : 1
Brann W
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund W

(Away)
04 Oct
Brann W
1 : 2
Aalesund W
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)