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Stabaek W vs Aalesund W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026 Nye Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Stabaek W Logo

Stabaek W

Sun, Jun 28, 2026
3 - 4
12:00 PM
Aalesund W Logo

Aalesund W

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Skretting I.
Assist: Sunde K.
36' Event
Gumaer K.
Assist: Berg-Solemdal M.
94' Event
Flo M.
Assist: Halvorsen C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-4, with Aalesund W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Stabaek W
20%
Draws
47%
Aalesund W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aalesund W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aalesund W come out ahead of Stabaek W on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Aalesund W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stabaek W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 10%
Aalesund W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek W Aalesund W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 22
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 2.23 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Stabaek W vs Aalesund W
3:4
Mar 28, 2026 Toppserien Women
Aalesund W vs Stabaek W
2:2
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly Women
Stabaek W vs Aalesund W
3:1
May 25, 2011 Norway Cup Women
Aalesund W vs Stabaek W
1:6
Oct 3, 2009 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Aalesund W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stabaek W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumaer K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Aalesund W Compare

Top Goalscorer Skretting I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sunde K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek W 30 / 100
Aalesund W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek W Aalesund W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Stabaek W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Aalesund W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Stabaek W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek W VS Aalesund W
2.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek W

(Home)
26 Sept
Stabaek W
0 : 1
Brann W
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
15 Aug
Haugesund W
1 : 1
Stabaek W
Page 1 of 6

Aalesund W

(Away)
26 Sept
Rosenborg W
1 : 1
Aalesund W
20 Sept
Aalesund W
4 : 1
Molde W
11 Sept
Bodo/Glimt W
0 : 2
Aalesund W
06 Sept
Brann W
3 : 1
Aalesund W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1