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Stabaek W vs Honefoss W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Toppserien Women Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stabaek W host Honefoss W in the Toppserien Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Honefoss W have shipped 1.81 goals a game lately, while Stabaek W have conceded 1.19 and scored 2.23. Past meetings favor Stabaek W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.25, favoring Stabaek W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Stabaek W
20%
Draws
38%
Honefoss W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stabaek W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Stabaek W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Stabaek W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Stabaek W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Stabaek W Clean Sheet 19%
Honefoss W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stabaek W Honefoss W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 18 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.23 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Stabaek W
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Stabaek W vs Honefoss W
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Stabaek W
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Toppserien Women
Stabaek W vs Honefoss W
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Toppserien Women
Honefoss W vs Stabaek W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stabaek W 85 / 100
Honefoss W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stabaek W Honefoss W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stabaek W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stabaek W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Honefoss W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Stabaek W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stabaek W VS Honefoss W
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stabaek W

(Home)
04 Oct
Molde W
0 : 3
Stabaek W
26 Sept
Stabaek W
0 : 1
Brann W
17 Sept
Rosenborg W
4 : 2
Stabaek W
13 Sept
Stabaek W
5 : 1
LSK Kvinner W
22 Aug
Stabaek W
7 : 1
Bodo/Glimt W
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Honefoss W

(Away)
04 Oct
Honefoss W
3 : 0
Bodo/Glimt W
26 Sept
Lyn W
1 : 1
Honefoss W
19 Sept
Honefoss W
0 : 0
Roa W
13 Sept
Molde W
0 : 1
Honefoss W
31 Aug
Honefoss W
0 : 1
Aalesund W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brann W 18 15 2 1 54:6 47
2 Aalesund W 18 14 2 2 44:17 44
3 Rosenborg W 18 11 5 2 33:20 38
4 Valerenga W 18 11 2 5 46:25 35
5 Stabaek W 18 8 3 7 36:20 27
6 Lyn W 18 7 5 6 34:26 26
7 Molde W 18 5 3 10 23:36 18
8 Haugesund W 18 5 3 10 25:44 18
9 Honefoss W 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 LSK Kvinner W 18 4 3 11 24:35 15
11 Roa W 18 3 5 10 18:37 14
12 Bodo/Glimt W 18 1 3 14 11:68 6
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)
Relegation - Toppserien Women (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 Women 2027 (Main)