Sport Picks

France

National 2025/2026 Stade Fred-Aubert

Stade Briochin

2 - 0

Chateauroux

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Janno S.

Assist: Rabuel M.

22'

Janno S.

31'

Achahbar K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Stade Briochin and Chateauroux finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Briochin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Stade Briochin

28%

Draws

22%

Chateauroux

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stade Briochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Chateauroux's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Stade Briochin have produced (1.13).
Model gives Stade Briochin a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 68%

Chateauroux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Stade Briochin	Chateauroux
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	6
Draws	11	10
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Ligue 3

Stade Briochin vs Chateauroux

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 3

Chateauroux vs Stade Briochin

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Apr 21, 2023 Ligue 3

Stade Briochin vs Chateauroux

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Dec 2, 2022 Ligue 3

Chateauroux vs Stade Briochin

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Feb 11, 2022 Ligue 3

Stade Briochin vs Chateauroux

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Janno S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Benkaid H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Briochin 59 / 100

Chateauroux 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Stade Briochin Chateauroux

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chateauroux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Stade Briochin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Stade Briochin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade Briochin VS Chateauroux

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13

75% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dijon	32	18	11	3	52:25	65
2	Sochaux	32	16	10	6	51:26	58
3	Rouen	32	14	13	5	43:29	55
4	Fleury-Merogis	32	15	9	8	47:30	54
5	Versailles	32	15	8	9	46:34	53
6	Orleans	32	14	9	9	42:42	51
7	Le Puy-en-Velay	32	12	11	9	45:38	47
8	Caen	32	8	16	8	39:34	40
9	Concarneau	32	8	14	10	32:37	38
10	Valenciennes	32	10	8	14	35:44	37
11	Aubagne FC	32	9	10	13	38:46	37
12	Villefranche	32	10	7	15	34:45	37
13	Quevilly	32	8	9	15	34:45	33
14	Paris 13 Atletico	32	7	11	14	26:41	32
15	Bourg Peronnas	32	8	7	17	25:44	31
16	Chateauroux	32	6	13	13	35:49	30
17	Stade Briochin	32	5	12	15	35:50	27