Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Briochin vs Chateauroux

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Fred-Aubert, Saint-Brieuc
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Janno S.
Assist: Rabuel M.
22'
Janno S.
31'
Achahbar K.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Stade Briochin and Chateauroux finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Briochin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Stade Briochin
35%
Draws
22%
Chateauroux
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stade Briochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Briochin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stade Briochin a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 68%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Briochin Chateauroux
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Chateauroux
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Stade Briochin
2:2
Apr 21, 2023 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Chateauroux
2:1
Dec 2, 2022 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Stade Briochin
2:2
Feb 11, 2022 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Chateauroux
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Janno S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benkaid H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chateauroux Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Briochin 50 / 100
Chateauroux 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Briochin Chateauroux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Briochin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chateauroux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Stade Briochin scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Stade Briochin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade Briochin VS Chateauroux
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Briochin

(Home)
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
22 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 0
Le Poire Sur Vie
05 Aug
Stade Briochin
1 : 2
Brest
15 May
Versailles
2 : 2
Stade Briochin
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Chateauroux

(Away)
05 Sept
Touraine
1 : 1
Chateauroux
28 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Hyeres
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)