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Stadium Background

Stade Briochin vs Fleury-Merogis

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Fred-Aubert
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Rivas J.
Assist: Farade K.
23'
Achahbar K.
43' Event
Lopes M.
Assist: Achahbar K.

AI Match Summary

Stade Briochin host Fleury-Merogis in the National 2025/2026. Stade Briochin are expected to control this from the start. Stade Briochin have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Fleury-Merogis's 2.13 scored and 0.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Stade Briochin have won 1 to Fleury-Merogis's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Stade Briochin to edge this. Stade Briochin in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Stade Briochin
17%
Draws
13%
Fleury-Merogis
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Stade Briochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Stade Briochin.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Stade Briochin.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in National 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 68%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Briochin Fleury-Merogis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Ligue 3
Stade Briochin vs Fleury-Merogis
2:3
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Stade Briochin
4:1
May 9, 2020 National 2 - Group B
Fleury-Merogis vs Stade Briochin
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 National 2 - Group B
Stade Briochin vs Fleury-Merogis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopes M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Janno S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farade K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Briochin 77 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Briochin Fleury-Merogis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Briochin scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Fleury-Merogis let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Stade Briochin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fleury-Merogis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Briochin VS Fleury-Merogis
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027