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Stade Briochin vs Lorient II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade Fred-Aubert, Saint-Brieuc
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Siba S.
29' Event
Diop S.
48'
Le Gal N.

AI Match Summary

Lorient II in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lorient II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Stade Briochin
30%
Draws
35%
Lorient II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lorient II have won more games recently than Stade Briochin.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Stade Briochin Clean Sheet 18%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Briochin Lorient II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Stade Briochin vs Lorient II
1:3
Apr 6, 2024 National 1 - Group C
Lorient II vs Stade Briochin
2:1
Nov 10, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Stade Briochin vs Lorient II
2:1
Feb 22, 2020 National 1 - Group B
Lorient II vs Stade Briochin
0:3
Sep 14, 2019 National 1 - Group B
Stade Briochin vs Lorient II
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Briochin Compare

Top Goalscorer Taipa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lorient II Compare

Top Goalscorer Siba S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diop S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Briochin 32 / 100
Lorient II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Briochin Lorient II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Stade Briochin found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Stade Briochin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Briochin VS Lorient II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Briochin

(Home)
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Saumur Olympique
1 : 4
Stade Briochin
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Stade Briochin
0 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
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Lorient II

(Away)
02 Oct
Stade Briochin
1 : 3
Lorient II
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)