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Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 Stade Robert Champroux, Abidjan
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade d'Abidjan host Mouna in the Ligue 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Stade d'Abidjan at 0.93 goals for, 1 against; Mouna at 1.41 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Stade d'Abidjan have won 3 to Mouna's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 2, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.88 - 1.25) back Mouna to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Stade d'Abidjan
15%
Draws
46%
Mouna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mouna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mouna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Stade d'Abidjan are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Stade d'Abidjan Clean Sheet 19%
Mouna Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade d'Abidjan Mouna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stade d'Abidjan
1:2
Sep 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna
1:2
May 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Mouna vs Stade d'Abidjan
0:3
Dec 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna
1:1
May 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Stade d'Abidjan vs Mouna
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade d'Abidjan 36 / 100
Mouna 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade d'Abidjan Mouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade d'Abidjan found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Mouna conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Stade d'Abidjan has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade d'Abidjan VS Mouna
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade d'Abidjan

(Home)
24 May
Stade d'Abidjan
1 : 0
Zoman
17 May
Racing d'Abidjan
0 : 1
Stade d'Abidjan
09 May
Stella Adjame
1 : 0
Stade d'Abidjan
04 May
Stade d'Abidjan
1 : 2
Academie de FAD
26 Apr
Tchologo
2 : 1
Stade d'Abidjan
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Mouna

(Away)
24 May
Korhogo
1 : 2
Mouna
17 May
San Pedro
3 : 1
Mouna
11 May
Mouna
1 : 1
Agboville
05 May
Zoman
1 : 3
Mouna
26 Apr
Mouna
0 : 1
Academie de FAD
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