Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Barbati A.
35'
35'
Jerbi W.
45'
45'
Lamjed A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Stade Gabesien and Gafsa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Gabesien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gafsa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Stade Gabesien carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 20%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Gabesien | Gafsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Gafsa
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Stade Gabesien
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Gafsa
0:0
Dec 11, 2022 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Stade Gabesien
2:1
Mar 12, 2022 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Gabesien Compare
Top Goalscorer Jerbi W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lamjed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Gafsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Barbati A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Gabesien 32 / 100
Gafsa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Gabesien Gafsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gafsa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Stade Gabesien scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Stade Gabesien went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Gafsa has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Stade Gabesien VS Gafsa
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Gabesien
(Home) 30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
19 Apr
Stade Gabesien
4 : 3 Etoile Sahel
05 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 1 Gafsa
Page 1 of 3
Gafsa
(Away) 12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0 Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
05 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 1 Gafsa
27 Feb
PS Sakiet Eddaier
3 : 0 Gafsa
15 Feb
Kalaa
4 : 1 Gafsa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
