Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Jerbi W.
54'
54'
Jerbi W.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Stade Gabesien in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Gabesien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kalaa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Kalaa haven't matched Stade Gabesien's recent run of results.
- 29% — that's where the model lands on Stade Gabesien taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 20%
Kalaa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Gabesien | Kalaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Kalaa
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Stade Gabesien
0:1
Apr 1, 2023 Ligue 2
Kalaa vs Stade Gabesien
2:1
Nov 23, 2022 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Kalaa
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Gabesien Compare
Top Goalscorer Jerbi W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Kalaa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Gabesien 67 / 100
Kalaa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Gabesien Kalaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stade Gabesien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kalaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Stade Gabesien found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Stade Gabesien stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Stade Gabesien VS Kalaa
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Gabesien
(Home) 30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0 Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 US Tataouine
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
19 Apr
Stade Gabesien
4 : 3 Etoile Sahel
05 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 1 Gafsa
Page 1 of 3
Kalaa
(Away) 12 May
Kalaa
1 : 3 Jendouba Sport
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2 Redeyef
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ksour Essef
1 : 2 Kalaa
22 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0 Kalaa
04 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0 Kalaa
21 Feb
Moknine
2 : 0 Kalaa
31 Jan
Bouchamma
1 : 0 Kalaa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
