Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Gabesien vs Redeyef

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Belhaj N.
90' Event
Lamjed A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Stade Gabesien
35%
Draws
32%
Redeyef
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Gabesien have won more games recently than Redeyef.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 68%
Redeyef Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Gabesien Redeyef
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Redeyef
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Redeyef vs Stade Gabesien
0:0
May 16, 2025 Ligue 2
Redeyef vs Stade Gabesien
2:0
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Redeyef
1:0
Oct 14, 2021 Ligue 2
Redeyef vs Stade Gabesien
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Gabesien Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamjed A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Redeyef Compare

Top Goalscorer Belhaj N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Gabesien 41 / 100
Redeyef 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Gabesien Redeyef

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Gabesien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Stade Gabesien scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Redeyef let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Stade Gabesien stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Stade Gabesien VS Redeyef
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Gabesien

(Home)
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0
Stade Gabesien
02 May
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 7

Redeyef

(Away)
12 May
PS Sakiet Eddaier
5 : 0
Redeyef
02 May
Redeyef
1 : 0
Kasserine
28 Apr
Kalaa
2 : 2
Redeyef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3
Moknine
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)