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Stade Gabesien vs Sidi Bouzid Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Ben Romdhane A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Stade Gabesien and Sidi Bouzid finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sidi Bouzid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Stade Gabesien
20%
Draws
0%
Sidi Bouzid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Gabesien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Stade Gabesien carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Stade Gabesien's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 68%
Sidi Bouzid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Gabesien Sidi Bouzid
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.67 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Sidi Bouzid
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Stade Gabesien
2:6
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Stade Gabesien
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs Sidi Bouzid
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Stade Gabesien
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Gabesien Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sidi Bouzid Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Romdhane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Gabesien 95 / 100
Sidi Bouzid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Gabesien Sidi Bouzid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Gabesien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidi Bouzid's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Sidi Bouzid's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Stade Gabesien scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Stade Gabesien VS Sidi Bouzid
1.63 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.14
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Gabesien

(Home)
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0
Stade Gabesien
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Sidi Bouzid

(Away)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)