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Stade Gabesien vs US Tataouine Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Jerbi W.
88' Event
Lamjed A.
90' Event
Ayari H.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Stade Gabesien in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Stade Gabesien
20%
Draws
51%
US Tataouine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: US Tataouine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stade Gabesien lately — more wins on the board than US Tataouine.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Stade Gabesien taking it.
  • Stade Gabesien have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Stade Gabesien, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 68%
US Tataouine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Gabesien US Tataouine
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs US Tataouine
2:0
May 26, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Gabesien vs US Tataouine
4:3
Dec 9, 2018 Ligue Professionnelle 1
US Tataouine vs Stade Gabesien
2:1
May 2, 2017 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Stade Gabesien vs US Tataouine
1:1
Mar 19, 2017 Ligue Professionnelle 1
US Tataouine vs Stade Gabesien
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Gabesien Compare

Top Goalscorer Jerbi W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lamjed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

US Tataouine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Gabesien 51 / 100
US Tataouine 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Gabesien US Tataouine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Gabesien scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Stade Gabesien stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

US Tataouine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Gabesien VS US Tataouine
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Gabesien

(Home)
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Stade Gabesien
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

US Tataouine

(Away)
26 Sept
Soliman
4 : 1
US Tataouine
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
11 May
BS Bouhajla
0 : 1
US Tataouine
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
EM Mahdia
0 : 1
US Tataouine
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Hammam-Lif 1
Kasserine 0
Stade Gabesien 2
US Tataouine 0
Final
Hammam-Lif 3
Stade Gabesien 0