Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Malien vs Binga

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Stade Malien Logo

Stade Malien

2 - 1
FT
Binga Logo

Binga

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Stade Malien in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Malien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Stade Malien
30%
Draws
19%
Binga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Stade Malien have won more games recently than Binga.
  • Win probability leans Stade Malien's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
Binga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Binga
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.56 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Binga
2:1
Mar 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Binga vs Stade Malien
4:0
Jun 4, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Binga
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premiere Division
Binga vs Stade Malien
0:4
Apr 17, 2024 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Binga
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 77 / 100
Binga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Binga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Stade Malien stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Binga has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Stade Malien found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS Binga
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
Page 1 of 7

Binga

(Away)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
05 Jun
Binga
0 : 1
Bougouba
02 Jun
Djoliba
2 : 1
Binga
24 May
Foot Elite
0 : 1
Binga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)