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Stade Malien vs Colombe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
0 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Stade Malien
20%
Draws
45%
Colombe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Malien haven't matched Colombe's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Colombe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombe, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
Colombe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Colombe
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 20
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.24 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 CAF Champions League
Stade Malien vs Colombe
0:1
Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
Colombe vs Stade Malien
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 42 / 100
Colombe 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Colombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Malien has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Stade Malien scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Colombe conceded in 38% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS Colombe
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
01 Nov
Real Bamako
0 : 1
Stade Malien
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
Page 1 of 6

Colombe

(Away)
01 Nov
Colombe
2 : 0
Bamenda
25 Oct
Colombe
1 : 0
Teungueth
18 Oct
Teungueth
0 : 2
Colombe
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 1
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 3
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 5
15 de Agosto 1
Simba 9
CFFA 1
Young Africans 8
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 2
APR 0
Zamalek 2
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 5
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 4
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 3
Maghreb Fez 3
ASEC Mimosas 2
Teungueth 0
Colombe 3
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 3
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 3
Horoya 2
Al Merreikh 1
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 2