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Stade Malien vs Colombe

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Stade Malien at 1.25 goals for, 0.59 against; Colombe at 1.57 for, 0.57 against. Past meetings favor Stade Malien slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.50) back Colombe to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Stade Malien
30%
Draws
38%
Colombe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Colombe at 1.57 per game, Stade Malien at 1.25.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Colombe taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 16%
Colombe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Colombe
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 CAF Champions League
Colombe vs Stade Malien
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 28 / 100
Colombe 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Colombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Malien has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Stade Malien scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Colombe conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS Colombe
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
Page 1 of 7

Colombe

(Away)
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
28 Jun
Colombe
7 : 0
Fauve Azur Elite
21 Jun
Colombe
1 : 0
Aigle Royal
14 Jun
Bamenda
1 : 2
Colombe
07 Jun
Canon Yaounde
0 : 1
Colombe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 4
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 0
Petro Atletico 1
Mangasport 3
African Stars 1
La Cure Waves 0
Orlando Pirates 0
15 de Agosto -
Fomboni -
Mighty Wanderers FC 0
Simba 1
CFFA 2
Lijabatho 0
Gaborone Utd 1
Young Africans 1
Asswehly 1
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 0
Port 1
Zamalek 2
EL Merriekh Bentiu 1
Heegan 0
Mahia 0
Pyramids 2
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 0
Aigle Noir 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 2
Star Sport Academy 0
Medina United 0
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 1
ASEC Mimosas 1
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 1
Colombe 0
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 1
Sobemap 1
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 0
San Pedro 1
Rivers United 1
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 1
Horoya 0
Al-Merreikh 1
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 0
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 1
Djoliba 0
Final
TBD -
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Esperance Tunis -
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Berkane -
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