Sport Picks
Stade Malien vs Diarra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Stade Malien host Diarra in the Premiere Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Stade Malien at 1.19 goals for, 0.61 against; Diarra at 1.16 for, 0.94 against. Head-to-head, Stade Malien have won 3 to Diarra's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.94, favoring Stade Malien. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Stade Malien come out ahead of Diarra on wins alone.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Stade Malien taking it.
- Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Malien | Diarra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.61 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Stade Malien scored in 61% of their last 36 games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Stade Malien stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Diarra conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Malien
(Home)Diarra
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Binga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Derby Academie | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Bakaridjan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Stade Malien | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Djoliba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Onze Createurs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Bougouba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 | Diarra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 | AS Kayes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 10 | CS Bamako | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 11 | Korofina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 12 | Foot Elite | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Real Bamako | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | USFAS Bamako | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |