Sport Picks
Stade Malien vs Petro Atletico
Africa
CAF Champions League 2025/2026 Stade du 26 Mars, Bamako 
Match Events
41'
41'
Coulibaly D.
54'
54'
Nkeng T.
Assist: Traore M.
59'
59'
Traore M.
Assist: Coulibaly O.
AI Match Summary
The CAF Champions League 2025/2026 game between Stade Malien and Petro Atletico finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Malien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petro Atletico
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Petro Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this CAF Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.2%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 18%
Petro Atletico Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Stade Malien | Petro Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 0.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.77 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 CAF Champions League
Petro Atletico vs Stade Malien
0:0
Jan 25, 2026 CAF Champions League
Stade Malien vs Petro Atletico
2:0
Jan 19, 2019 CAF Confederation Cup
Petro Atletico vs Stade Malien
2:1
Jan 12, 2019 CAF Confederation Cup
Stade Malien vs Petro Atletico
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Stade Malien Compare
Top Goalscorer Nkeng T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Traore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.39
Petro Atletico Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Stade Malien 36 / 100
Petro Atletico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Stade Malien Petro Atletico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Petro Atletico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Stade Malien remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Stade Malien scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Petro Atletico let in goals in 28% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Stade Malien VS Petro Atletico
1.29 Goals Scored 2
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.25
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Stade Malien
(Home) 13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1 Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0 Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2 Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1 Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2 Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1 Colombe
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1 Binga
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2 USFAS Bamako
21 May
Stade Malien
3 : 0 US Bougouni
16 May
Stade Malien
0 : 1 Diarra
Page 1 of 4
Petro Atletico
(Away) 17 Sept
Sao Salvador
0 : 1 Petro Atletico
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2 UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1 Petro Atletico
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2 Petro Atletico
26 Aug
Petro Atletico
3 : 0 C.R.D. Libolo
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Sao Salvador
0 : 1 Petro Atletico
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1 Petro Atletico
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2 Petro Atletico
21 Aug
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 0 Petro Atletico
05 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
0 : 2 Petro Atletico
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Berkane | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Power Dynamos | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Rivers United | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | 1 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | FAR Rabat | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Young Africans | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Kabylie | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1:8 | 3 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 9 |
| 3 | MC Alger | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | St Eloi Lupopo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Malien | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 11 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Petro Atletico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Simba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)
