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Stade Malien vs Real Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Stade Malien Logo

Stade Malien

0 - 1
FT
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Bamako in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Stade Malien
30%
Draws
33%
Real Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Malien have won more games recently than Real Bamako.
  • Win probability leans Stade Malien's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Real Bamako
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.2 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.6 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Real Bamako
0:1
Dec 10, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Stade Malien
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Stade Malien
0:3
Jan 30, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Real Bamako
1:1
May 19, 2024 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs Real Bamako
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 51 / 100
Real Bamako 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Real Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Stade Malien remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Stade Malien scored in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Real Bamako's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS Real Bamako
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
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Real Bamako

(Away)
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
31 May
Korofina
1 : 0
Real Bamako
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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