Sport Picks

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Stade Malien vs Simba

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2025/2026 Stade du 26 Mars, Bamako
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nkeng T.
Assist: Traore M.
23' Event
Simpara I.
Assist: Bode A.
46'
Sub
Mwalimu S. In: Sowah J.
Out: Mwalimu S.

AI Match Summary

Stade Malien in this CAF Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Malien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Stade Malien
35%
Draws
32%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Malien haven't matched Simba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Stade Malien's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
Simba Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien Simba
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 17 21
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.33 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.57 0.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 CAF Champions League
Simba vs Stade Malien
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 CAF Champions League
Stade Malien vs Simba
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Stade Malien Compare

Top Goalscorer Nkeng T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simpara I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Maema N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 86 / 100
Simba 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Stade Malien remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Stade Malien found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Simba conceded in 33% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS Simba
2 Goals Scored 2
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
24 May
Mali Coura
1 : 1
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0
Simba
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0
Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Simba
1 : 0
Kinondoni MC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Berkane 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Power Dynamos 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Rivers United 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 6 2 4 0 8:3 10
2 FAR Rabat 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
3 Young Africans 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
4 Kabylie 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Mamelodi Sundowns 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 MC Alger 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 St Eloi Lupopo 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stade Malien 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
2 Esperance Tunis 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Petro Atletico 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Simba 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)