Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Stade Malien vs USFAS Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Stade Malien Logo

Stade Malien

2 - 2
FT
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Stade Malien
30%
Draws
27%
USFAS Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Malien have won more games recently than USFAS Bamako.
  • Win probability leans Stade Malien's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Malien USFAS Bamako
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.15 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs USFAS Bamako
2:2
Feb 19, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Stade Malien
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs USFAS Bamako
2:0
Dec 31, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Stade Malien
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Stade Malien
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Malien 77 / 100
USFAS Bamako 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Malien USFAS Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stade Malien has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

USFAS Bamako let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Stade Malien scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Stade Malien VS USFAS Bamako
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Malien

(Home)
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
Page 1 of 7

USFAS Bamako

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)