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Stade Montois vs Gap

France France

CFA - Group C 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stade Montois in this CFA - Group C 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stade Montois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Stade Montois
35%
Draws
0%
Gap
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stade Montois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Stade Montois have won more games recently than Gap.
  • Model gives Stade Montois a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Stade Montois Clean Sheet 12%
Gap Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Montois Gap
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 0.91 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Gap vs Stade Montois
1:2
Jan 14, 2012 National 1 - Group C
Stade Montois vs Gap
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Montois 83 / 100
Gap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Montois Gap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Montois Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gap has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Gap registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Stade Montois has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade Montois VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Montois

(Home)
28 May
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
21 May
Nantes II
2 : 2
Stade Montois
14 May
Stade Montois
0 : 1
Colomiers
30 Apr
Andrezieux
3 : 3
Stade Montois
23 Apr
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 7

Gap

(Away)
02 Jun
Hyeres
1 : 0
Gap
26 May
Gap
1 : 2
St Etienne II
19 May
Albi
3 : 0
Gap
12 May
Gap
1 : 2
Stade Montois
04 May
Agde
3 : 1
Gap
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pont Du Gard 34 20 10 4 55:29 104
2 Rodez 34 17 9 8 43:26 94
3 Monaco II 34 17 5 12 56:46 90
4 Cannes 34 15 10 9 53:39 87
5 Hyeres 34 14 11 9 40:43 87
6 Colomiers 34 13 14 7 45:30 87
7 St Etienne II 34 14 10 10 57:35 86
8 Bordeaux II 34 14 7 13 34:32 83
9 Tarbes 34 12 10 12 44:41 80
10 Stade Montois 34 11 13 10 39:35 80
11 Agde 34 11 11 12 38:35 78
12 Athletico Marseille 34 10 13 11 35:50 76
13 Pau 34 10 12 12 33:35 76
14 Marignane GCB 34 11 8 15 40:53 75
15 Beziers 34 10 10 14 39:50 74
16 Pontet 34 9 9 16 45:57 70
17 Albi 34 8 7 19 34:51 65
18 Gap 34 1 7 26 22:71 44
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)