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Stade Montois vs Tarbes

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National 2 - Group A 2017/2018
Stade Montois Logo

Stade Montois

0 - 2
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Tarbes Logo

Tarbes

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 game between Stade Montois and Tarbes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tarbes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Stade Montois
35%
Draws
41%
Tarbes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tarbes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Stade Montois haven't matched Tarbes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stade Montois a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Stade Montois Clean Sheet 20%
Tarbes Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Stade Montois Tarbes
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 1 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.78 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.22 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2018 National 1 - Group A
Stade Montois vs Tarbes
0:2
Oct 14, 2017 National 1 - Group A
Tarbes vs Stade Montois
2:1
Jan 21, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Stade Montois vs Tarbes
1:0
Aug 27, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Tarbes vs Stade Montois
0:0
Apr 2, 2016 National 1 - Group C
Stade Montois vs Tarbes
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Stade Montois 36 / 100
Tarbes 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Stade Montois Tarbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tarbes conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Stade Montois remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Stade Montois scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Stade Montois VS Tarbes
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Stade Montois

(Home)
28 May
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
21 May
Nantes II
2 : 2
Stade Montois
14 May
Stade Montois
0 : 1
Colomiers
30 Apr
Andrezieux
3 : 3
Stade Montois
23 Apr
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Chamalieres
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Tarbes

(Away)
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Saumur Olympique
0 : 0
Tarbes
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
19 May
Tarbes
0 : 3
Toulon
12 May
Marseille II
1 : 2
Tarbes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 17 6 7 39:25 57
2 Toulon 30 17 6 7 41:25 57
3 Colomiers 30 14 9 7 43:27 51
4 Bergerac 30 13 10 7 43:28 49
5 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 14 7 9 41:32 49
6 Martigues 30 13 8 9 42:33 47
7 Sete 30 11 13 6 42:25 46
8 Monaco II 30 11 10 9 44:33 43
9 RC Grasse 30 9 12 9 32:31 39
10 Hyeres 30 8 12 10 35:32 36
11 Nice II 30 10 5 15 31:48 35
12 Stade Montois 30 8 8 14 32:46 32
13 Stade Bordelais 30 8 9 13 28:39 31
14 Marseille II 30 6 10 14 31:46 28
15 Tarbes 30 7 5 18 32:60 26
16 Pezenas 30 5 8 17 19:45 21
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)